NEXUS OF FISCAL DEFICIT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA
Sr No:
Page No:
1-10
Language:
English
Authors:
Onoja, Ezekiel Felix*, Ofurum, C.O PhD
Received:
2026-01-19
Accepted:
2026-02-21
Published Date:
2026-03-02
Abstract:
The aim of the study was to determine the relationship between budget deficit and
economic growth in Nigeria was examined using data derived from Central bank of Nigeria
annual bulletin and world bank website. Data used for the study were annual data covering the
period of 1970 to 2024. The study examined the relationship using multiple regression and
autoregressive distributed lag whilst various diagnostics and post estimation analysis were
made. The outcome of the study confirmed that budget deficit have positive effect on real GDP
and hence significantly improve economic growth in Nigeria. Based on findings the study
recommends that the efficiency of public spending needs to enhanced in Nigeria. This involves
a more efficient allocation of deficit spending among optimal sectors in the economy. The
extensive effect of budget deficits on the economy also requires that fiscal sustainability be
ensured over time in Nigeria. The medium-term fiscal framework that forms the foundations of
national budget need to be fully implemented in each budget cycle. Regular fiscal audits and
transparent budgeting can ensure deficits remain sustainable while delivering economic
benefits. The study further recommends that to optimize economic growth, policymakers need
to strategically use fiscal deficits to boost GDP.
Keywords:
Deficit, Economic Growth, Real Gross Domestic Product.